Choco vs SD Compostela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
RCF
5 - 0
CHO
93%
6%
2%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
CHO
3 - 1
CDO
26%
26%
48%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
BET
5 - 3
CHO
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
CHO
4 - 1
ARE
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
GRA
1 - 0
CHO
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
COM
4 - 2
CEL
89%
8%
3%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
ATO
3 - 1
COM
42%
24%
35%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
COM
6 - 0
ALO
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
BOU
1 - 1
COM
25%
24%
52%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
COM
3 - 1
LEM
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |