Choco vs Marín CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
ARO
5 - 2
CHO
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
CHO
0 - 1
ATO
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
DEP
3 - 1
CHO
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
CHO
1 - 4
RCF
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
CEL
7 - 1
CHO
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Marín CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALO
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
VIV
1 - 0
MAR
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
MAR
1 - 3
LEM
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ACF
5 - 0
MAR
65%
19%
15%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
MAR
4 - 2
GRA
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |