Choco vs CD Foz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 1
COM
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
CEL
0 - 0
CHO
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
ARE
1 - 1
CHO
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
CHO
5 - 1
ALO
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
COX
1 - 2
CHO
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Foz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
ALO
2 - 1
FOZ
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
FOZ
2 - 1
COX
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
RCF
2 - 1
FOZ
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
FOZ
2 - 1
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
ATO
2 - 1
FOZ
57%
21%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |