Choco vs Flavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
NOI
2 - 0
CHO
72%
19%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
ARO
1 - 1
CHO
73%
18%
10%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
CHO
0 - 2
RCF
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
CDO
2 - 1
CHO
90%
8%
2%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
CHO
1 - 2
BET
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Flavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
FLA
1 - 0
LEM
35%
28%
37%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
GRA
5 - 0
FLA
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
FLA
0 - 1
SAN
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
FLA
0 - 0
LEM
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
LUG
4 - 1
FLA
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |