Choco vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 2
BOI
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
CHO
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CHO
4 - 0
POR
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
UDO
0 - 3
CHO
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 5
RCF
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CEL
0 - 0
DEP
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
PON
1 - 1
DEP
67%
21%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
DEP
2 - 0
DEP
89%
9%
2%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 0
DEP
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
DEP
3 - 0
NAV
51%
22%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |