Choco vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
BOU
0 - 2
CHO
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CHO
3 - 2
ALO
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BET
1 - 2
CHO
43%
25%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 4
ASP
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 1
CHO
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
CDD
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SOM
3 - 1
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 2
BOI
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ORD
2 - 0
DEP
35%
27%
39%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 2
NEG
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |