Choco vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
55.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
CHO
1 - 1
LUG
32%
27%
42%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
COX
3 - 1
CHO
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
CHO
1 - 1
CEL
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
ATO
5 - 0
CHO
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
CHO
2 - 1
ALO
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
DEP
7 - 1
COX
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
CEL
1 - 1
DEP
15%
25%
59%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
DEP
2 - 2
ATO
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
DEP
7 - 3
ALO
88%
8%
3%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
DEP
4 - 1
BOU
85%
11%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |