Choco vs Coruxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SOM
1 - 0
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CHO
6 - 0
SIL
71%
19%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
RCV
1 - 1
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 0
DEP
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SIL
1 - 4
CHO
30%
26%
45%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Coruxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 3
COX
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
COX
3 - 2
COV
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ROB
1 - 1
COX
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
COX
2 - 1
LEA
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 2
COX
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |