Choco vs CCD Cerceda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RCV
2 - 1
CHO
56%
23%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
4 - 1
CHO
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 1
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ORD
2 - 3
CHO
25%
26%
50%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 2
ARO
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CER
1 - 3
BOU
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
CER
29%
26%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CER
2 - 1
ORD
75%
17%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 0
CER
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CER
4 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |