Choco vs CCD Cerceda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ALO
0 - 0
CHO
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
5 - 0
ASP
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 0
CHO
53%
24%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ORD
0 - 2
CHO
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 2
ARO
45%
25%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CER
2 - 3
ARO
50%
25%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
CER
27%
26%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
CER
5 - 0
BER
81%
14%
5%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 1
CER
22%
26%
52%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
RIB
2 - 1
CER
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |