Choco vs CD Beluso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
48.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
POR
0 - 2
CHO
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
CHO
0 - 1
PON
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CHO
2 - 2
CUL
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ARN
0 - 0
CHO
65%
19%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CHO
0 - 2
UMI
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Beluso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BEL
0 - 1
UDA
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
UMI
0 - 2
BEL
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PON
0 - 3
BEL
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BEL
2 - 1
ATL
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
BAR
4 - 1
BEL
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |