Choco vs Boiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ORD
3 - 1
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
NEG
61%
23%
16%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
CHO
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
CHO
40%
26%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CHO
4 - 1
DEP
39%
25%
36%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Boiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BOI
2 - 1
CDD
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SOM
2 - 3
BOI
46%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BOI
1 - 1
CER
51%
24%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ORD
0 - 0
BOI
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BOI
4 - 0
NEG
64%
22%
14%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |