Choco vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 4
CHO
27%
27%
47%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 0
TOM
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 0
PON
45%
27%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 0
CEL
39%
27%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
RIB
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
0 - 1
BAR
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 3
BAR
26%
23%
51%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
GRA
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
TOM
62%
21%
18%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |