Choco vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NEG
2 - 2
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
CER
36%
26%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RCV
2 - 1
CHO
56%
23%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
4 - 1
CHO
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 1
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
BOU
26%
25%
50%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
ORD
55%
24%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |