Choco vs Arenteiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BER
2 - 1
CHO
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
COM
1 - 2
CHO
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 1
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BOI
2 - 1
CHO
59%
21%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 2
RCV
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ARE
2 - 1
BOI
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
ARE
0 - 0
PON
17%
25%
58%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CUL
0 - 2
ARE
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ARE
0 - 1
COM
15%
21%
65%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
ARE
48%
25%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |