Choco vs Arenteiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ALO
4 - 3
CHO
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
CHO
0 - 0
COX
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
RCF
3 - 0
CHO
93%
5%
2%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
CHO
1 - 3
DEP
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
ATO
3 - 0
CHO
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ARE
2 - 1
LEM
71%
18%
12%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
ARE
4 - 1
ALO
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
ARE
1 - 0
ARO
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
COX
4 - 1
ARE
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
ARE
0 - 1
ASP
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |