Choco vs Alondras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 0
CHO
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
RIB
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 2
CHO
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NEG
2 - 2
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alondras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALO
0 - 1
BOU
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALO
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALO
0 - 0
ORD
74%
18%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 1
ALO
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALO
2 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |