Choco vs AD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 0
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 3
CHO
35%
26%
40%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 0
SDN
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
CHO
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
COV
1 - 1
EST
17%
22%
61%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
POR
6 - 0
COV
74%
17%
9%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
COV
1 - 1
CAS
31%
25%
45%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
5 - 0
COV
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
COV
1 - 0
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +2 |