Choco U19 vs Real Sporting U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
16º
12º
60
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
83% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 4
CHO
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 2
SDC
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ARO
3 - 0
CHO
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 0
GIM
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 2
CHO
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
PON
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
SPO
80%
13%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
VER
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
REA
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 5
SPO
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |