Choco B vs Goián analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
LTA
2 - 2
CHO
49%
23%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 2
MIG
60%
21%
20%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
TYD
1 - 0
CHO
45%
24%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 2
TOM
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 3
GUI
66%
19%
15%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Goián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GOI
2 - 2
CAS
26%
22%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TEB
2 - 1
GOI
30%
24%
46%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
GOI
1 - 1
TEI
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
NIE
1 - 4
GOI
49%
23%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NIG
0 - 1
GOI
33%
24%
43%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |