Chipstead vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
CHI
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
BIG
43%
24%
34%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BIG
2 - 2
CHI
60%
21%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 0
CHI
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 4
WHY
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
WOR
5 - 0
WHI
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
WOR
5 - 1
ATK
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
WOR
3 - 2
GOD
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
RAM
5 - 2
WOR
29%
25%
47%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -3 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
WOR
0 - 1
COR
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |