Non League Div One Isthmian South Central. Jor. 12

Chipstead vs Merstham analysis

Chipstead Merstham
23 ELO 16
-8.6% Tilt -0.1%
11795º General ELO ranking 10092º
784º Country ELO ranking 649º
ELO win probability
68.7%
Chipstead
18.2%
Draw
13.1%
Merstham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
Chipstead
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13.1%
Win probability
Merstham
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chipstead
-33%
+2%
Merstham

Points and table prediction

Chipstead
Their league position
Merstham
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
19º
11º
36
15º
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Basingstoke Town
89
89
100%
Walton & Hersham
87
87
100%
Marlow FC
67
67
100%
Hanworth Villa FC
66
66
100%
Northwood
63
63
100%
Binfield
57
57
0%
Leatherhead
57
57
0%
Chertsey Town
56
56
100%
South Park FC
55
55
100%
Southall
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Chipstead
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Westfield (Surrey)
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Thatcham Town
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Uxbridge
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Guernsey
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Ashford Town
16º
38
38
16º
100%
Sutton Common Rovers
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Merstham
18º
36
36
18º
100%
Bedfont Sports
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Tooting and Mitcham
20º
24
24
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chipstead
Merstham
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chipstead
Merstham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chipstead
Chipstead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2022
NOR
Northwood
0 - 0
Chipstead
CHI
52%
22%
26%
23 24 1 0
22 Oct. 2022
CHI
Chipstead
1 - 2
Guernsey
GUE
69%
18%
13%
23 15 8 0
15 Oct. 2022
LEA
Leatherhead
2 - 3
Chipstead
CHI
40%
25%
36%
22 22 0 +1
08 Oct. 2022
BAS
Basingstoke Town
3 - 0
Chipstead
CHI
56%
20%
24%
24 25 1 -2
01 Oct. 2022
CHI
Chipstead
2 - 1
Uxbridge
UXB
28%
24%
49%
22 29 7 +2

Matches

Merstham
Merstham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2022
MER
Merstham
0 - 1
Hanworth Villa FC
HAN
31%
22%
47%
16 20 4 0
25 Oct. 2022
UXB
Uxbridge
3 - 0
Merstham
MER
76%
16%
9%
17 28 11 -1
22 Oct. 2022
MER
Merstham
1 - 2
Leatherhead
LEA
30%
23%
47%
17 22 5 0
15 Oct. 2022
ASH
Ashford Town
3 - 2
Merstham
MER
57%
21%
21%
17 19 2 0
10 Oct. 2022
MER
Merstham
2 - 2
Guernsey
GUE
54%
22%
24%
18 16 2 -1
X