Apertura Nicaragua Round 1

Chinandega vs Real Estelí analysis

Chinandega Real Estelí
65 ELO 68
2.4% Tilt -1.6%
20665º General ELO ranking 1796º
36º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40%
Chinandega
26.5%
Draw
33.5%
Real Estelí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
Chinandega
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.5%
Win probability
Real Estelí
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Chinandega
Real Estelí
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chinandega
Chinandega
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2008
CFC
Chinandega
2 - 0
Managua
MAN
66%
21%
14%
65 56 9 0
26 Nov. 2008
XIL
Xilotepelt
2 - 2
Chinandega
CFC
40%
27%
33%
65 59 6 0
23 Nov. 2008
CFC
Chinandega
3 - 1
Masatepe
MAS
58%
23%
18%
64 60 4 +1
16 Nov. 2008
REA
Real Madriz
1 - 1
Chinandega
CFC
41%
27%
32%
64 60 4 0
08 Nov. 2008
CFC
Chinandega
3 - 1
Real Estelí
EST
35%
27%
39%
63 70 7 +1

Matches

Real Estelí
Real Estelí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2008
DEP
CD Ocotal
1 - 0
Real Estelí
EST
38%
28%
34%
70 65 5 0
26 Nov. 2008
EST
Real Estelí
3 - 0
Walter Ferretti
WAL
53%
24%
23%
70 68 2 0
23 Nov. 2008
DIR
Diriangén
0 - 0
Real Estelí
EST
49%
25%
26%
70 70 0 0
16 Nov. 2008
EST
Real Estelí
3 - 0
Bluefields
BLU
79%
14%
7%
69 49 20 +1
08 Nov. 2008
CFC
Chinandega
3 - 1
Real Estelí
EST
35%
27%
39%
70 63 7 -1