China vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
48.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
CHN
0 - 2
SRB
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 2
CHN
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
CHN
1 - 0
UZB
51%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
SYR
2 - 2
CHN
37%
27%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
CHN
8 - 1
PHL
80%
15%
5%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
KOR
2 - 1
COL
30%
28%
42%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
PRY
70%
20%
10%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
BRA
17%
21%
62%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
VEN
0 - 0
COL
24%
26%
50%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |