China vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
CHN
1 - 0
KAZ
89%
8%
3%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
CHN
2 - 1
KAZ
88%
8%
3%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
CHN
1 - 1
IRQ
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
PSE
0 - 2
CHN
7%
17%
77%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
SGP
0 - 0
CHN
10%
20%
71%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
AUS
1 - 3
DNK
26%
28%
46%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
AUS
1 - 1
GHA
64%
23%
13%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
AUS
2 - 0
BHR
80%
15%
5%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
AUS
1 - 1
PRY
42%
29%
29%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
KWT
2 - 0
AUS
13%
21%
66%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | -1 |