China vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2002 |
CHN
0 - 2
PRT
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
CHN
0 - 2
URY
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
CHN
3 - 1
THA
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
KOR
0 - 0
CHN
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
CHN
3 - 4
SVN
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 0
CRI
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
CRI
1 - 2
COL
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
KOR
2 - 0
CRI
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
JPN
1 - 1
CRI
60%
23%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
CRI
0 - 1
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |