China U23 vs Indonesia U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
CHN
3 - 4
KSA
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
UAE
1 - 2
CHN
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
SYR
0 - 3
CHN
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
CHN
6 - 0
TIO
86%
10%
3%
|
54 | 7 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
CHN
3 - 2
IRN
29%
23%
49%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Indonesia U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
IDN
2 - 1
THA
33%
23%
44%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
VIE
0 - 1
IDN
47%
23%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
IDN
2 - 0
KHM
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
IDN
2 - 2
MAS
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
MYA
1 - 1
IDN
14%
18%
69%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |