Asian Games Knock-outs Quarter-finals

China U23 vs South Korea U23 analysis

China U23 South Korea U23
54 ELO 71
-1.5% Tilt -1.6%
4214º General ELO ranking 1655º
27º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
16.4%
China U23
22.6%
Draw
61%
South Korea U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
China U23
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61%
Win probability
South Korea U23
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
China U23
-20%
-6%
South Korea U23

ELO progression

China U23
South Korea U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

China U23
China U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2023
CHN
China U23
1 - 0
Qatar U23
QAT
66%
20%
15%
54 46 8 0
24 Sep. 2023
CHN
China U23
0 - 0
Bangladesh U23
BGD
86%
11%
3%
54 25 29 0
21 Sep. 2023
MYA
Myanmar U23
0 - 4
China U23
CHN
8%
17%
75%
54 31 23 0
19 Sep. 2023
CHN
China U23
5 - 1
India U23
IND
89%
9%
2%
54 17 37 0
19 Jun. 2023
CHN
China U23
1 - 0
South Korea U23
KOR
15%
20%
65%
52 70 18 +2

Matches

South Korea U23
South Korea U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2023
KOR
South Korea U23
5 - 1
Kyrgyzstan U23
KGZ
88%
10%
2%
70 29 41 0
24 Sep. 2023
KOR
South Korea U23
3 - 0
Bahrain U23
BHR
82%
13%
5%
70 45 25 0
21 Sep. 2023
THA
Thailand U23
0 - 4
South Korea U23
KOR
10%
20%
70%
70 49 21 0
19 Sep. 2023
KOR
South Korea U23
9 - 0
Kuwait U23
KWT
81%
14%
6%
70 48 22 0
19 Jun. 2023
CHN
China U23
1 - 0
South Korea U23
KOR
15%
20%
65%
70 52 18 0