Chimbarongo vs Comunal Cabrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
14º
12º
16
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimbarongo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
MPA
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
CHI
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
RAS
1 - 0
CHI
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CDQ
3 - 3
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 2
CHG
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Comunal Cabrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
RAS
0 - 2
CDC
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CDQ
5 - 0
CDC
83%
13%
4%
|
23 | 63 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 4
CHG
12%
20%
68%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
PRO
13%
17%
69%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MPA
2 - 0
CDC
11%
16%
73%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |