Chimaltenango vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SOL
0 - 2
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
7 - 1
ROS
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
SPD
2 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VEN
2 - 3
CHI
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 1
SLC
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
NUE
2 - 0
SLC
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
REU
3 - 0
NUE
44%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
NUE
2 - 0
LEO
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 0
NUE
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NUE
4 - 0
VEN
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |