Chimaltenango vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
ROS
1 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 0
SLC
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
ESC
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 1
SOL
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 1
REU
61%
21%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IZT
3 - 2
NUE
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ROS
1 - 0
NUE
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 2
DEP
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |