Chimaltenango vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ROS
2 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 2
DEP
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
REU
1 - 1
CHI
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 1
NUE
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
SLC
1 - 0
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 3
IZT
15%
25%
59%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SOL
7 - 1
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 0
BAR
51%
21%
27%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 3
ROS
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
8 - 0
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |