Chile U20s vs USA U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
PER
1 - 1
CHL
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CHL
4 - 1
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
PRY
1 - 1
CHL
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ECU
1 - 0
CHL
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
CHL
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
USA U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
URY
4 - 2
USA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
USA
2 - 1
GEO
80%
15%
6%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
USA
1 - 1
MEX
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
ISR
0 - 2
USA
32%
23%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 1
USA
46%
23%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |