Chievo vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
UDI
3 - 0
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
INT
1 - 1
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 2
ROM
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
BOL
3 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
MES
1 - 4
ACM
18%
28%
54%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ROM
3 - 2
MES
78%
15%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
MES
1 - 0
PAR
34%
26%
41%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
MES
1 - 0
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 1
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |