Chievo vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ASL
0 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CHI
1 - 0
USC
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 3
CAG
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CHI
1 - 0
SAL
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
CHI
3 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
CES
3 - 1
REG
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
TOR
1 - 0
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
CES
3 - 1
ROM
25%
29%
46%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CAS
0 - 2
CES
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
CES
1 - 2
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |