Chieri vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 0
UNI
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 3
CHI
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARC
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SES
1 - 0
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PDH
3 - 1
CHI
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
LAV
3 - 2
GOZ
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
LAV
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
ARC
0 - 0
LAV
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LAV
2 - 0
FOS
54%
22%
25%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
LAV
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |