Chieri vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GOZ
0 - 1
CHI
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
ASD
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
INV
0 - 3
CHI
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 1
ASD
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 1
CHI
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 3
BOR
59%
22%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SER
2 - 2
FOL
30%
26%
45%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PAV
2 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
DER
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |