Chicago Fire vs Richmond Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CFS
2 - 0
COR
33%
27%
39%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
CFS
2 - 0
TOR
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
CFS
1 - 1
DCU
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
RBN
2 - 2
CFS
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
VAN
4 - 2
CFS
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ORL
3 - 0
RIC
64%
23%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 0
RIC
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -3 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ORA
0 - 0
RIC
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
ORA
0 - 0
RIC
26%
27%
46%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 2
RIC
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |