Chicago Fire vs New York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
MIN
2 - 2
CFS
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
NSC
1 - 1
CFS
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
PHU
2 - 1
CFS
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CFS
2 - 2
RBN
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CFS
2 - 2
KCW
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
NYC
5 - 2
RBN
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
TOR
0 - 1
NYC
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
NYC
3 - 1
MON
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
COC
3 - 1
NYC
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 1
NYC
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |