Chiasso vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
77.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FCV
4 - 2
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
LAU
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 1
RAP
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 2
FCL
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FCL
0 - 2
THU
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
YOB
2 - 3
FCL
75%
15%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 3
SIO
41%
26%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCL
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |