Chiasso vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 3
SCH
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
WOH
0 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MEN
0 - 2
CHI
15%
24%
62%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
LUG
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
LAU
2 - 0
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FCA
2 - 1
THU
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 7
FCA
5%
11%
85%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
GCZ
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
STG
2 - 2
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |