Chiasso vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
WIN
2 - 0
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
LAC
4 - 0
CHI
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ASG
1 - 5
CHI
14%
20%
67%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
FCV
5 - 2
CHI
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 2
LUG
53%
26%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
CON
4 - 1
LAU
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
CON
2 - 0
WOH
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
DUD
1 - 3
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 1
CON
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
CON
4 - 2
BEL
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |