League Two Round 19

Chesterfield vs Forest Green Rovers analysis

Chesterfield Forest Green Rovers
48 ELO 53
13% Tilt -1.3%
2659º General ELO ranking 3288º
70º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
33.7%
Chesterfield
25.1%
Draw
41.1%
Forest Green Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
Chesterfield
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.1%
Win probability
Forest Green Rovers
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chesterfield
-16%
+27%
Forest Green Rovers

ELO progression

Chesterfield
Forest Green Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chesterfield
Chesterfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2017
CHE
Chesterfield
1 - 0
Exeter City
EXE
23%
24%
53%
46 59 13 0
11 Nov. 2017
SWI
Swindon Town
2 - 2
Chesterfield
CHE
71%
18%
11%
46 60 14 0
04 Nov. 2017
BRA
Bradford City
2 - 0
Chesterfield
CHE
75%
17%
8%
47 67 20 -1
28 Oct. 2017
CHE
Chesterfield
2 - 2
Carlisle United
CUM
29%
25%
46%
46 55 9 +1
21 Oct. 2017
CAM
Cambridge United
2 - 1
Chesterfield
CHE
62%
22%
16%
47 55 8 -1

Matches

Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2017
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
3 - 2
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
55%
23%
22%
53 48 5 0
11 Nov. 2017
CRA
Crawley Town
1 - 1
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
29%
26%
45%
54 48 6 -1
04 Nov. 2017
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
1 - 0
Macclesfield Town
MAC
46%
25%
30%
53 53 0 +1
31 Oct. 2017
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
0 - 2
Swansea U21
SWA
44%
23%
33%
55 53 2 -2
28 Oct. 2017
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
2 - 0
Morecambe
MOR
61%
22%
18%
54 47 7 +1