Chesterfield vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 0
CHE
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
DON
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 3
SHE
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
CHE
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 2
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BCF
1 - 3
MIL
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
SCU
2 - 1
BCF
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SWI
0 - 1
BCF
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BCF
1 - 0
DON
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 1
BCF
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |