Championship round 1

Chesterfield vs Arsenal analysis

Chesterfield Arsenal
58 ELO 71
0.6% Tilt 0%
2794º General ELO ranking 18º
69º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.2%
Chesterfield
22.5%
Draw
55.3%
Arsenal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
Chesterfield
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55.3%
Win probability
Arsenal
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chesterfield
-8%
+1%
Arsenal

ELO progression

Chesterfield
Arsenal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 1899
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 0
Barnsley
BAR
70%
18%
12%
73 64 9 0
15 Apr. 1899
LIN
Lincoln City
2 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
24%
22%
54%
74 58 16 -1
08 Apr. 1899
ARS
Arsenal
4 - 0
New Brighton Tower
NEW
62%
20%
18%
73 74 1 +1
03 Apr. 1899
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
40%
24%
36%
74 78 4 -1
01 Apr. 1899
MUD
Manchester United
2 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
56%
22%
22%
74 74 0 0