League Two Round 11

Chesterfield vs Accrington Stanley analysis

Chesterfield Accrington Stanley
59 ELO 54
8% Tilt -4.3%
2619º General ELO ranking 3871º
68º Country ELO ranking 102º
ELO win probability
55.9%
Chesterfield
23.1%
Draw
21%
Accrington Stanley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
Chesterfield
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21%
Win probability
Accrington Stanley
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chesterfield
-8%
+7%
Accrington Stanley

ELO progression

Chesterfield
Accrington Stanley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chesterfield
Chesterfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2009
CHE
Chesterfield
3 - 2
Grimsby Town
GRI
60%
22%
18%
58 53 5 0
26 Sep. 2009
BRA
Bradford City
3 - 0
Chesterfield
CHE
48%
26%
26%
59 59 0 -1
19 Sep. 2009
CHE
Chesterfield
4 - 1
Macclesfield Town
MAC
62%
22%
16%
59 51 8 0
12 Sep. 2009
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
2 - 1
Chesterfield
CHE
61%
22%
18%
59 62 3 0
05 Sep. 2009
ROT
Rotherham United
3 - 1
Chesterfield
CHE
53%
25%
22%
60 62 2 -1

Matches

Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2009
POR
Port Vale
2 - 2
Accrington Stanley
STA
45%
26%
29%
55 54 1 0
25 Sep. 2009
STA
Accrington Stanley
5 - 3
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
39%
26%
35%
54 58 4 +1
19 Sep. 2009
HER
Hereford United
2 - 0
Accrington Stanley
STA
37%
28%
36%
55 53 2 -1
11 Sep. 2009
STA
Accrington Stanley
2 - 1
Darlington FC
DAR
43%
28%
29%
54 59 5 +1
05 Sep. 2009
BCF
Bury
0 - 2
Accrington Stanley
STA
57%
24%
19%
52 61 9 +2