Chester vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
STF
2 - 0
CHE
57%
22%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
CHE
0 - 2
SCU
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 3
SCA
53%
26%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1999 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
CHE
2 - 1
CUM
45%
28%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
HUL
1 - 0
PLY
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
PLY
0 - 0
HAR
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1999 |
PLY
0 - 0
GUL
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
PLY
0 - 2
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1999 |
PLY
2 - 0
CHE
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |