Chester vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
YOR
2 - 1
CHE
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
ALF
68%
18%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
GAT
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
FAR
2 - 2
CHE
30%
25%
46%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
HER
3 - 3
KET
33%
24%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
CHO
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
HER
0 - 1
GLO
30%
25%
44%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BLY
0 - 3
HER
46%
23%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
HER
0 - 2
BRA
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |