Chester vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SOL
0 - 3
CHE
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ALT
2 - 4
CHE
29%
25%
47%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
COL
66%
20%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
WOR
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
GUI
22%
24%
55%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 1
GLO
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 2
GUI
22%
25%
54%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 0
GAI
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
7 - 1
DRO
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |