Chester vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 3
CUR
74%
16%
9%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAN
3 - 2
CHE
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 0
BOL
19%
22%
59%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 0
FLE
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GAT
3 - 1
KET
45%
24%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
GAT
1 - 0
GUI
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
GAT
1 - 3
SPE
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
BLY
2 - 2
GAT
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
GAT
2 - 3
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |